By Olivia Ashmoore
Vitality Innovation Coverage and Know-how LLC® has printed updates to the Mexico and India Vitality Coverage Simulator (EPS) fashions and launched a brand new South Korea EPS mannequin. The South Korea EPS was launched on the three.3.1 platform in partnership with the NEXT Group. The Mexico mannequin was upgraded to the newer 3.3.1 EPS platform to allow forecasting adjustments in jobs, gross home product (GDP), and public well being impacts. Information for the India EPS mannequin was up to date to account for slower long-term GDP development related to the impacts from the COVID-19 pandemic.
South Korea EPS Mannequin Launch
The South Korea-based NEXT Group and Vitality Innovation® collectively developed South Korea’s first national-level EPS. South Korea is the world’s Twelfth-largest annual greenhouse gasoline (GHG) emitter, contributing roughly 715 million metric tons carbon dioxide equal (CO2e) in 2020.
The South Korea EPS mannequin includes a Enterprise-As-Normal (BAU) Situation that reveals a 14 % enhance in economy-wide emissions by 2050 absent any further coverage motion. Alternatively, an Instance Decarbonization Situation reveals further local weather insurance policies can meet the South Korea’s formidable Nationally Decided Contribution (NDC) objectives of lowering emissions 40 % beneath 2018 ranges by 2030 and reaching net-zero emissions by 2050. The three handiest insurance policies within the Instance Decarbonization Situation are industrial electrification and hydrogen gasoline switching, changing hydrogen manufacturing to electrolysis, and no new coal or gas-fired powerplants.
South Korea’s Instance Decarbonization Situation emissions reductions by coverage.
Mexico EPS Mannequin Replace
The Mexico EPS has been upgraded to the EPS 3.3.1 mannequin platform, which incorporates new detailed financial outputs and information updates. The up to date mannequin can now monitor money flows, capital investments, adjustments in GDP, and employment adjustments by financial sector. As well as, the three.3.1 model consists of new public well being impacts and up to date vitality consumption information.
The Mexico EPS comes preloaded with a BAU Situation and an Instance Lengthy Time period Technique (LTS) Situation. The Instance LTS Situation would cut back emissions 50 % beneath 2000 ranges, create roughly 760,000 jobs in 2050, and would enhance GDP about 1 % in 2050. Probably the most impactful insurance policies are an electrical car gross sales normal, industrial electrification and hydrogen gasoline switching, and a clear electrical energy normal. The Instance LTS Situation would additionally stop 7,300 untimely deaths and 218,000 bronchial asthma assaults in 2050.
Change in jobs by sector in Mexico’s Instance LTS Situation.
India EPS Information Replace
The India EPS mannequin was up to date to account for slower near-term vitality and financial development ensuing from the COVID-19 pandemic, and in addition consists of an up to date GDP forecast from the India Vitality Safety Situations. The India EPS features a BAU Situation and two coverage situations—the Lengthy-term Decarbonization Situation and the Nationally Decided Contribution-Sustainable Growth Targets Linkages Situation—that present emissions reductions in comparison with the BAU forecast.
India’s BAU, Lengthy-term Decarbonization, and NDC-SDG Linkages Situations.
All these options and updates at the moment are out there on-line. The EPS Video Sequence supplies an introduction to the mannequin’s capabilities, and customers can discover the software utilizing the EPS net interface.
